Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 0.000585 0.000667 0.000754 0.000853 0.000961 0.001078 0.001211
2025-11-02 0.000460 0.000574 0.000702 0.000858 0.001040 0.001245 0.001493
2025-11-09 0.000390 0.000517 0.000667 0.000857 0.001088 0.001358 0.001694
2025-11-16 0.000325 0.000456 0.000618 0.000831 0.001098 0.001421 0.001834
2025-11-23 0.000276 0.000409 0.000579 0.000811 0.001111 0.001481 0.001968
2025-11-30 0.000243 0.000378 0.000557 0.000806 0.001139 0.001560 0.002125
2025-12-07 0.000216 0.000351 0.000537 0.000804 0.001169 0.001639 0.002281
2025-12-14 0.000191 0.000324 0.000514 0.000794 0.001184 0.001699 0.002413
2025-12-21 0.000168 0.000298 0.000490 0.000780 0.001193 0.001748 0.002531
2025-12-28 0.000157 0.000290 0.000490 0.000800 0.001250 0.001862 0.002736
2026-01-04 0.000146 0.000279 0.000486 0.000811 0.001293 0.001959 0.002921
2026-01-11 0.000131 0.000262 0.000469 0.000805 0.001310 0.002018 0.003055
2026-01-18 0.000117 0.000244 0.000452 0.000796 0.001324 0.002074 0.003189
2026-01-25 0.000108 0.000234 0.000446 0.000803 0.001360 0.002164 0.003370
2026-02-01 0.000098 0.000221 0.000435 0.000802 0.001384 0.002235 0.003527
2026-02-08 0.000085 0.000202 0.000410 0.000777 0.001370 0.002249 0.003601
2026-02-15 0.000075 0.000186 0.000390 0.000758 0.001363 0.002275 0.003692
2026-02-22 0.000068 0.000176 0.000379 0.000754 0.001380 0.002334 0.003833
2026-03-01 0.000062 0.000167 0.000370 0.000752 0.001400 0.002398 0.003982
2026-03-08 0.000055 0.000156 0.000357 0.000742 0.001405 0.002441 0.004098
2026-03-15 0.000049 0.000145 0.000342 0.000728 0.001405 0.002472 0.004200
2026-03-22 0.000047 0.000143 0.000346 0.000747 0.001459 0.002591 0.004435
2026-03-29 0.000044 0.000140 0.000345 0.000758 0.001499 0.002689 0.004640